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Ebola References

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Ebola References

  1. Rivers CM, Lofgren ET, Marathe M, Eubank S, Lewis BL. Modeling the Impact of Interventions on an Epidemic of Ebola in Sierra Leone and Liberia. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Oct 16. Edition 1. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.fd38dd85078565450b0be3fcd78f5ccf.
  2. Haas CN. On the Quarantine Period for Ebola Virus. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Oct 14. Edition 1. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.2ab4b76ba7263ff0f084766e43abbd89.
  3. Stadler T, Kühnert D, Rasmussen DA, du Plessis L. Insights into the Early Epidemic Spread of Ebola in Sierra Leone Provided by Viral Sequence Data. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Oct 6. Edition 1. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.02bc6d927ecee7bbd33532ec8ba6a25f.
  4. Schwartz I, Shaw L. Rewiring for adaptation. Physics 3:17, 2010.
  5. Forgoston E, Schwartz I. Predicting Unobserved Exposures from Seasonal Epidemic Data. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology September 2013, Volume 75, Issue 9, pp 1450-1471.
  6. Chow K, Wang X, Curtiss R, Castillo-Chavez C. Evaluating the efficacy of antimicrobial cycling programmes and patient isolation on dual resistance in hospitals. J Biol Dyn. 2011 Jan;5(1):27-43. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2010.488300.
  7. Fenichel EP, Castillo-Chavez C, Ceddia MG, et al. Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. Apr 12, 2011; 108(15): 6306–6311.
  8. Hernandez-Ceron N, Feng Z, Castillo-Chavez C. Discrete Epidemic Models with Arbitrary Stage Distributions and Applications to Disease Control. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, October 2013, Volume 75, Issue 10, pp 1716-1746
  9. Shim E, Feng Z, and Castillo-Chavez C. DIFFERENTIAL IMPACT OF SICKLE CELL TRAIT ON SYMPTOMATIC AND ASYMPTOMATIC MALARIA. Math Biosci Eng. 2012 October ; 9(4): 877-898.
  10. Wesolowski A, Buckee CO, Bengtsson L, Wetter E, Lu X, Tatem AJ. Commentary: Containing the Ebola Outbreak – the Potential and Challenge of Mobile Network Data. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Sep 29. Edition 1. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.0177e7fcf52217b8b634376e2f3efc5e.
  11. Althaus CL. Estimating the Reproduction Number of Ebola Virus (EBOV) During the 2014 Outbreak in West Africa. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Sep 2. Edition 1. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.91afb5e0f279e7f29e7056095255b288.
  12. Gomes MFC, Pastore y Piontti A, Rossi L, Chao D, Longini I, Halloran ME, Vespignani A. Assessing the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Sep 2. Edition 1. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.cd818f63d40e24aef769dda7df9e0da5.
  13. Fisman, D., et al. (2014). "Early Epidemic Dynamics of the West African 2014 Ebola Outbreak: Estimates Derived with a Simple Two-Parameter Model." PLoS Currents.
  14. Gire, S. K., et al. (2014). "Genomic surveillance elucidates Ebola virus origin and transmission during the 2014 outbreak." Science: science.1259657-.
  15. Nishiura, H. and G. Chowell (2014). "Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014." Euro surveillance : bulletin Européen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin 19: 1-6.
  16. Towers, S., et al. (2014). "Temporal Variations in the Effective Reproduction Number of the 2014 West Africa Ebola Outbreak." PLoS Currents.
  17. Association of KIR2DS1 and KIR2DS3 with fatal outcome in Ebola virus infection (Wauquier et al, 2010). Immunogenetics. 2010 Dec;62(11-12):767-71. doi: 10.1007/s00251-010-0480-x
  18. Legrand J, Grais R, Boelle P, Valleron A, Flahault A (2007) Understanding the dynamics of Ebola epidemics. Epidemiol Infect 135: 610.
  19. Assessment and planning for medical evacuation by air to the EU of patients with Ebola virus disease and people exposed to Ebola virus:
  20. Case definitions for Ebola patients in the EU:
  21. Algorithm for laboratory diagnosis of Ebola virus disease:
  22. Algorithm for initial assessment and management of patients for Ebola virus disease:
  23. Yamin D, Gertler S, Ndeffo-Mbah ML, Skrip LA, Fallah M, Nyenswah TG, Altice FL, Galvani AP. "Effect of Ebola Progression on Transmission and Control in Liberia." Annals of Internal Medicine: Ann Intern Med. 28 October 2014. doi:10.7326/M14-2255.
  24. Ebola Response Anthropology Platform
  25. Tech 4 Relief
  26. Containing Ebola: What it would take
  27. please add additional references here.

Related References (not Ebola Specific)

  1. Dynamic social distancing is a highly plausible (but not the only!) explanation for the observed multiple waves of infection regularly observed in influenza pandemics. The following papers are just a few highlights from the literature:
  2. Bootsma, M. & Ferguson, N. The effect of public health measures on the 1918 influenza pandemic in U.S. cities Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 2007, 104, 7588-93
  3. Quantifying social distancing arising from pandemic influenza. J Roy Soc Interface, 2008, 5, 631-639
  4. He D, Dushoff J, Day T, Ma J, Earn DJD. 2013 Inferring the causes of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England and Wales. Proc R Soc B 280: 20131345.
  5. He D, Dushoff J, Day T, Ma J, Earn DJD. 2011 Mechanistic modelling of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic. Theor. Ecol. 4, 283–288. (doi:10.1007/s12080-011-0123-3)
  6. Cauchemez, S.; Ferguson, N. M.; Wachtel, C.; Tegnell, A.; Saour, G.; Duncan, B. & Nicoll, A. Closure of schools during an influenza pandemic. Lancet Infect Dis, 2009, 9, 473-481
  7. Also note these explanations of waves in influenza have been critiqued (by me and others) as their are immunological explanations available as well:
  8. McCaw JM, Stone L, F1000 Prime recommendation on “Inferring the causes of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England and Wales”, F1000 Prime, DOI: 10.3410/f.718074534.793482068 (28 August 2013).
  9. Bolton KJ, McCaw JM, McVernon J, Mathews JD, The influence of changing host immunity on 1918-19 pandemic dynamics, Epidemics 8: 18-27 (2014).

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